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GREYSTONE LOGISTICS, INC. (GLGI)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 delivered solid year-over-year improvement: revenue rose to $15.60M (+29% YoY), gross margin expanded to 20.1% (+1,000 bps YoY), and EPS turned positive at $0.03 vs a $(0.01) loss in Q2 2023, driven by increased volume, productivity gains, and lower raw material costs .
  • Sequentially, results normalized from a strong Q1: revenue declined to $15.60M from $17.41M, EPS fell to $0.03 from $0.06, and gross margin eased to 20.1% from 23.2% .
  • Six-month EPS reached $0.09 and six-month EBITDA was $7.44M; management highlighted operational momentum and expanded capabilities, naming lower resin costs and productivity as margin drivers .
  • Strategic catalysts: addition of in-house sales hires to deepen customer engagement, and a new tool order under a three-year customer contract—both aimed at accelerating growth and strengthening commercial relationships .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and profitability inflection: Q2 gross margin rose to 20.1% from 10.1% YoY; EPS turned positive at $0.03 vs $(0.01), reflecting increased volume, productivity improvements, and lower raw material costs .
  • Strength in six-month performance: six-month EPS of $0.09 and EBITDA of $7.44M show improved earnings power vs the prior-year period ($0.03 EPS; $4.67M EBITDA) .
  • Commercial initiatives: “The company experienced yet another great quarter,” noted the CEO, highlighting expanded in-house sales capacity and a new tool order under a three-year customer contract as milestones supporting demand capture and customer intimacy .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential normalization: revenue fell from $17.41M in Q1 to $15.60M in Q2; EPS declined from $0.06 to $0.03; margin compressed from 23.2% to 20.1% QoQ .
  • Limited formal guidance disclosure for Q2: the press release did not provide quantitative forward guidance, instead including a call announcement and standard forward-looking statements .
  • Customer variability context (prior quarter call): Walmart pullbacks late in FY2023 and timing shifts at large customers underscored near-term demand variability risk even as the pipeline builds .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.0 $17.414 $15.597
Diluted EPS ($USD)N/A$0.06 $0.03
Gross Margin (%)20.0% 23.2% 20.1%
Net Income ($USD Millions)N/A$1.744 $0.965
EBITDA ($USD Millions, reported incl. credits where applicable)$5.1 $4.228 $3.214 (calculated: 6M $7.443 − Q1 $4.228)
EBITDA ($USD Millions, ex-tax credits where applicable)$4.0 N/AN/A

Notes:

  • Q4 2023 revenue and margin disclosed on the Q4 call; EBITDA was $5.1M with tax credits and ~$4.0M excluding them .
  • Q2 2024 EBITDA for the quarter is derived from six-month EBITDA minus Q1 EBITDA; the press release did not state a standalone quarterly EBITDA figure .

Year-over-year Q2 comparison:

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$12.102 $15.597
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.01) $0.03
Gross Margin (%)10.1% 20.1%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(0.187) $0.965

Estimates comparison (Wall Street consensus):

MetricConsensus (Q2 2024)Actual (Q2 2024)Result
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A$15.597 N/A
Diluted EPS ($USD)N/A$0.03 N/A

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Overall financial guidanceQ3 2024+Not providedNot provided in Q2 press release; press release included forward-looking statements only Maintained (no formal guidance)
Conference callQ2 2024N/ACall scheduled Jan 17, 2024 (2:00 PM ET) Informational only

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023)Previous Mentions (Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Raw material costsResin prices normalized vs 2021–2022 spike; Q4 GM ~20% Margin improvement driven by lower raw material costs Margin expansion YoY; cited lower raw materials as driver Improving YoY; normalized QoQ
Productivity/automationRobotics and automated warehousing boosting plastic pallet adoption Operational setup supports next growth cycle Productivity improvements cited as margin driver Positive execution
Customer mix & pipelineiGPS strong; Walmart volumes variable; grocery pallet and can pallet development Sales pipeline building; new tooling for grocery/can/nut/cement/tech/beverage New tool order under a three-year contract; in-house sales expansion Expanding relationships
Extrusion line (robotic)Expect $5–$10M potential; addressing quality/dye adjustments; Austria rework Not in Q1 PRNot mentioned in Q2 PRExecution in progress (prior commentary)
Capital allocation/deleveragingFocus on deleveraging; evaluating cash uses (board) Not in Q1 PRNot in Q2 PROngoing strategic review (prior commentary)

Management Commentary

  • “The company experienced yet another great quarter, marked by impressive financial performance and significant milestones,” including expansion of in-house sales and a new tool order under a three-year contract .
  • Margin drivers: “significant improvement… principally impacted by increased volume, productivity improvements, and lower raw material costs” (three and six months) .
  • Q4 narrative context: Plastic pallets benefit from robotic warehousing needs; iGPS remains a major customer; Walmart and other large customers influence demand timing .

Q&A Highlights

  • CapEx outlook and cash priorities: 2024 emphasis on maintenance CapEx; prior-year ~$7M growth CapEx complete; board assessing best uses of growing cash, with ongoing deleveraging focus .
  • Customer demand and pipeline: iGPS production incrementally higher; Walmart pullbacks with anticipated recovery; new opportunities across grocery, can, automotive, and non-alcoholic beverage customers .
  • Extrusion line strategy: Targeted quality fixes to dyes and robotic welding; potential $5–$10M revenue on existing line; low labor intensity, flexible sizing .
  • Strategic considerations: Uplisting discussion and potential structural moves debated; management cautious on macro while pursuing growth .

Estimates Context

  • Street consensus (S&P Global) comparisons are not presented here; the Q2 press release and documents reviewed did not include external consensus references and we did not retrieve estimates at the time of analysis. Default source for consensus would be S&P Global when available .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • YoY operating strength: Revenue up 29%, EPS positive, gross margin +1,000 bps—anchored by lower resin costs and productivity improvements; focus on sustaining margin discipline through mix and execution .
  • Sequential normalization: Q2 moderated from a robust Q1 across revenue, EPS, and margin—watch order timing and customer mix into Q3 .
  • Commercial expansion: In-house sales hires and a new tool order under a three-year contract expand customer intimacy and product breadth—potential to support volume growth and pricing power .
  • EBITDA trajectory: Six-month EBITDA of $7.44M underscores cash generation; derived Q2 EBITDA implies healthy profitability despite QoQ margin normalization .
  • Demand timing risk: Large-customer pullbacks and timing shifts (e.g., Walmart) can influence quarterly cadence even with a robust pipeline—watch for commentary and updates in subsequent calls .
  • Execution levers: Continued tooling innovation (grocery, can, automotive) and potential extrusion-line commercialization offer optionality for mix and capacity utilization .
  • Monitoring priorities: Look for any formal guidance, margin sustainability, and conversion of pipeline into revenue; catalysts include new customer implementations and evidence of accelerated order flow .